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Canada-US pipeline may spark more emissions than expected: study
by Staff Writers
Paris (AFP) Aug 10, 2014


Fracking survey skewed by industry support, Greenpeace says
London (UPI) Aug 11, 2013 - Greenpeace said a British survey showing public support for hydraulic fracturing is biased because the industry itself was behind the assessment.

Research group Populus conducted a survey for U.K. Onshore Oil and Gas that found more than half of the 4,000 people it surveyed expressed support for hydraulic fracturing in the country, compared with 27 percent expressing no opinion and 16 percent opposed.

A spokesman for Greenpeace said the poll was biased because it was backed by the oil and gas industry.

"This is just more smoke and mirrors to hide the obvious fact that fracking remains a highly controversial industry, far less popular than clean and safe alternatives like wind and solar," the spokesman said.

The government in July announced it was opening up the bidding process for shale deposits in the country. The British Geological Survey estimates the country has enough shale on hand to meet natural gas demand for the next 50 years if 10 percent of the total reserves are recovered.

Ken Cronin, chief executive officer at UKOOG said in a statement accompanying the survey that shale natural gas development would complement the government's effort to advance a low-carbon economy.

"While [the results of the survey] are positive, our industry needs to continue to do all it can to listen and engage with the view of the local communities," he said.

Protests grew unruly last year over drilling operations in the tiny village of Balcombe. Shale operations in Northern Ireland were the recent target of violence.

A proposed pipeline from Canada to the United States may result in much higher greenhouse gas emissions than previously calculated as it could fuel greater oil consumption through higher production and lower prices, a study said Sunday.

Researchers from the Stockholm Environment Institute used a mathematical model to estimate the Keystone XL pipeline's potential for atmospheric pollution.

Unlike calculations by the US State Department, they took into account a possible consumption rise in line with production, the pair wrote in the journal Nature Climate Change.

It was not clear, though, what the production increase was likely to be.

Using basic supply-and-demand economic principles and assuming a rise in production, the team calculated the pipeline would yield greenhouse gas emissions of 100-110 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (MtCO2e) per year -- "four times the upper State Department estimate" of 27.4 MtCO2e, they said.

The Keystone XL project to carry oil sands crude from Canada to refineries along the US Gulf Coast, has pitted environmental groups against the oil industry, which argues it will bring much-needed jobs and help fulfil the US goal of energy self-sufficiency.

US President Barack Obama has said the pipeline could only be approved if it "does not significantly exacerbate the problem of carbon pollution".

The research team said that for every barrel of increased production, global oil consumption would increase by 0.6 barrels "owing to the incremental decrease in global oil prices".

This, in turn, would pump out more Earth-warming carbon dioxide emissions -- estimated at about 36 billion tonnes for 2013.

"Our simple model shows that, to the extent that Keystone XL leads to greater oil sands production, the pipeline's effect on oil prices could substantially increase its total GHG (greenhouse gas) impact," wrote the study authors.

"The State Department's assessment has overlooked the pipeline's potentially most significant GHG impact: increasing oil consumption as the result of increasing supplies and lowering prices."

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