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OIL AND GAS
BP's Dudley sees short-term support for the price of oil
by Daniel J. Graeber
Washington (UPI) Jul 31, 2018

Oil prices slip ahead of inventory report
Washington (UPI) Jul 31, 2018 - Crude oil prices softened ahead of the start of U.S. trading Tuesday on possible wiggle room in Iran and steady personal incomes in the United States.

Speaking during a press conference with Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte, U.S. President Donald Trump opened the door to a possible face-to-face meeting with Iranian President Hassan Rouhani. According to Phil Flynn of the PRICE Futures Group in Chicago, that was a sign the market might avoid an all-out loss of Iranian oil when U.S. sanctions kick in by November.

"Oil prices, which were on the rise on concerns of tightening supply, and growing desperation that the loss of Iranian oil supplies would not be easily replaced, may have found a ray of hope," he said in a daily emailed market report.

The price for Brent crude oil, the global benchmark for the price of oil, was down 0.73 percent as of 9:15 a.m. EDT to $75 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark for the price of oil, was down 1.37 percent to $69.17 per barrel.

The downturn follows a strong showing for U.S. gross domestic product in the second quarter, though oil prices last week barely moved on the 4 percent gain. On Tuesday, the U.S. Commerce Department reported personal income levels increased 0.4 percent in June, more or less stable for the year. Disposable personal income showed a similar trend.

The results were different, however, in the European economy. For the 19 countries that use the euro currency, GDP increased 0.3 percent from the second quarter. Growth between the fourth quarter and the first quarter was 0.4 percent, and 0.7 percent between the last two quarters of 2017.

Shrugging off concerns about global trade tensions, BP CEO Bob Dudley said in a conference on second quarter earnings that crude oil prices would be supported by supply disruptions from OPEC members Iran, Libya and Venezuela, but his outlook for the price of oil was lower than current market levels.

"We continue to plan for oil prices in the range of $50-$65 per barrel," he said.

BP CEO Bob Dudley said Tuesday there were factors ranging from Iranian sanctions to a shortage of U.S. pipelines that supported higher crude oil prices.

BP reported strong results for the second quarter, noting production apart from operations in Russia were up 1.4 percent from last year. The company reported a profit of $2.8 billion, four times higher than second quarter 2017.

"We continue to make steady progress against our strategy and plans, delivering another quarter of strong operational and financial performance," Dudley said in a statement.

For the first time since the third quarter of 2014, the British supermajor increased its dividend by 2.5 percent, or 10.25 cents per share.

The growth comes as crude oil prices continue their recovery from the early 2016 dip below $30 per barrel. Dudley at the height of the downturn gave the market a "lower for longer" mantra, though an effort steered by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to erase the glut of oil on the market has pushed the price of Brent, the global benchmark for the price of oil, back to about the $70 per barrel mark.

Shrugging off concerns about the impact of global trade tensions, Dudley said the outlook for global demand was positive given expectations of 3 percent growth in global gross domestic product this year and next.

On the price of oil, he said supply disruptions from Libya and Venezuela, the potential impact of U.S. sanctions on Iran and limited pipeline availability in the United States are all lingering supply-side concerns.

"These uncertainties could serve to maintain upward pressure on the oil price over the near term," he said.

The price for Brent crude oil averaged $74 per barrel during the second quarter, up 10 percent from the first quarter average. Brent was trading around $75 per barrel early Tuesday EDT.

Looking ahead to the third quarter, BP said it expected its production rates would be relatively unchanged from the second quarter, even after the company made its biggest investment in years with a billion-dollar spend on U.S. shale.

"It adds high-quality assets and over 4.6 billion barrels of oil equivalent of resources that repositions our existing Lower 48 business," Dudley said.

By 2021, the U.S. shale segment could contribute another $1 billion to exploration and production pre-tax cash flow to BP.

Further out, Dudley said he did not expect the price of oil to maintain its current level.

"We continue to plan for oil prices in the range of $50-$65 per barrel," he said.


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OIL AND GAS
Total's position boosted by position in LNG
Washington (UPI) Jul 27, 2018
French supermajor Total said Thursday its net production was up nearly 10 percent from last year, driven in part by gains in liquefied natural gas. Total was among the first of the supermajors to release results from the second quarter. Compared with the same period last year, the company's $3.6 billion in adjusted net income was up 44 percent. Chairman and CEO Patrick Pouyanné said a realized average price for oil at $74 per barrel during the second quarter supported growth. "In ... read more

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